Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Reds aren't winning the close ones

16 one run losses, not good. Only Minnesota, Oakland, and Florida have more. Know what they have in common? They're all in last place.

While we're talking about odd stats, guess which team has given up the fewest runs in the NL Central. Bet you didn't guess it was the Pirates, and by a wide margin.

The Reds have scored the most in the division. Actually the most in the NL, and 3rd in all of baseball behind only the Red Sox and Yankees. Of course they've given up almost 50 more than the Yankees and 25 more than the Sox.

The Reds currently are 41-39. According to MLB.com, their expected record based on Runs Scored vs. Runs Against should be three games better. Good enough for 44 wins and first place in the division. While that's not the end of be all of analysis, it does somewhat confirm that this team should be better than it is.

They've had several bad, bad loses this year, that will almost certainly come back to bite them down the stretch. Unless they can get a lot better in the close ones. A lot better.

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